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The Great Game » Why didn't they throw the explosives in the pool? » February 12, 2014 6:46 pm

josey
Replies: 9

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Throwing it in the pool would make it harder to disarm by the police.  Also if the bomb did go off it would cause more damage to the building if it was in the water.  I prefer to think that Sherlock assumed Moriarty might return giving him an advantage by throwing the jacket where he would be standing.

A Study In Pink » Which pill was the poisonous one?? » February 11, 2014 1:49 pm

josey
Replies: 144

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Sherlock was right that at best the odds were 50%.  The only person the cabbie studied was Sherlock, so only he could try and predict what Sherlock would do not the other 4.  When presented with an impossible 50/50 decision some people will not decide on their own and rely on chance.  A flip of a coin would negate anything the killer said to the original 4.  We don't know why there was more than 1 pill in the bottles but we can assume that the game was basically the same the odds would only be different.  It could be assumed they were told 1/3 are poison or 2/3 are poison.  Either way the killer never has to take a pill if they die which makes it more likley 100% were always poison.  Moriarty would not have benefited what so ever if the killer died before his game played out.  Why would he risk the effort to find this person who had nothing to lose and everything to gain die to the first person?

A Study In Pink » Which pill was the poisonous one?? » February 10, 2014 4:54 pm

josey
Replies: 144

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What we know is that the trick worked 4 times before Sherlock.  It is presumed that the other times each person was presented with 100% chance of being shot or 50% of picking the correct pill.  Unless the cabbie lied only Sherlock knew the gun was fake.  The cabbie said he would take 1 of the 2 pills but we never see him take the pill.  Sherlock says he wasn't going to take it but we could see how the cabbie was talking him into taking it.  If both pills are poison that means each person took a poison pill and he would simply leave to let them die, no reason to take the pill.  If the other 4 knew they were dead no matter what why not accept the gun shot making their murderer more likely to be caught, they had to have the illusion that they might not die.  If only 1 of the 2 pills was poison it wouldn't matter which person took it first.  Sherlock should have hidden the jars and represented them to the cabbie to read his reaction.

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